Abraham Bably vs Jamelle Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
242 lbsWeight202 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamTrevor Prangley's American Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abraham BablyJamelle Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abraham Bably63%
Jamelle Jones 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Abraham Bably a 63% favorite over Jamelle Jones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamelle Jones's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1629), separated by just 4 points.
Jamelle Jones enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jamelle Jones 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.