Abraham Bably vs Sam Hoger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abraham BablySam Hoger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abraham Bably66%
Sam Hoger 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abraham Bably a 66% favorite over Sam Hoger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Hoger's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.
Sam Hoger enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hoger 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.