Combat Edge Intelligence

Abraham Bably vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Abraham Bably
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Abraham Bably

“The One and Only”

8-3-0HeavyweightPFL

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record10-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
74"Reach79"
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

Abraham Bably is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tyson Pedro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abraham BablyNow 1625
If they win+14→ 1639
If they lose-18→ 1607
Tyson PedroNow 1592
If they win+18→ 1610
If they lose-14→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Abraham BablyTyson Pedro
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
2 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Abraham Bably66%
Tyson Pedro 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Abraham Bably a 66% favorite over Tyson Pedro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Abraham Bably holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1592, a 33-point edge.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Tyson Pedro carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.