Abraham Morales vs Melvin Guillard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'3"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
135.0 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamGenesis Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
If they win+12→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1499
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
TBDPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abraham Morales51%
Melvin Guillard 49%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Abraham Morales a 51% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melvin Guillard's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1511), separated by just 11 points.
Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Abraham Morales finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.