Combat Edge Intelligence

Acacio dos Santos vs Raffael Cerqueira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
45,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Guarulhos Fight TeamTeamCTJ Judo & Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Acacio dos SantosNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Raffael CerqueiraNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.27
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
43%
Strike defense
37%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
31%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Acacio dos SantosRaffael Cerqueira
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (18%)
8 (53%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Acacio dos Santos and Raffael Cerqueira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1629), separated by just 8 points.

Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Acacio dos Santos finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.