Adam Fugitt vs Chris Mixan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamPete White Boxing and MMA
What's at stake
Adam Fugitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chris Mixan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1623
If they lose-17→ 1591
If they win+17→ 1600
If they lose-15→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam FugittChris Mixan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mixan60%
Adam Fugitt 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 60% favorite over Adam Fugitt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Fugitt's way (46%).
Adam Fugitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1583, a 25-point edge.
Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Mixan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Chris Mixan 86%.
Adam Fugitt carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.