Adam Livingston vs Francis Marshall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1677
If they lose-24→ 1629
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam LivingstonFrancis Marshall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Marshall62%
Adam Livingston 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 62% favorite over Adam Livingston in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1654), separated by just 1 points.
Adam Livingston enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Adam Livingston finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Francis Marshall 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.