Adam Meskini vs Keweny Lopes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record12-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Old School AcademyTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Adam Meskini is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Keweny Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-18→ 1632
If they win+18→ 1631
If they lose-14→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam MeskiniKeweny Lopes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Meskini53%
Keweny Lopes 47%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Meskini a 53% favorite over Keweny Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Adam Meskini holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1613, a 37-point edge.
Adam Meskini enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Meskini finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Keweny Lopes 83%.
Adam Meskini carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.