Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Meskini vs Yutaka Saito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record22-9-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam MeskiniNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Yutaka SaitoNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Adam MeskiniYutaka Saito
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (23%)
3 (27%)
Submission
2 (9%)
3 (27%)
Decision
15 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

Yutaka Saito53%
Adam Meskini 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yutaka Saito a 53% favorite over Adam Meskini in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Meskini's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Meskini enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Adam Meskini finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Yutaka Saito 32%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.