Adama Diop vs Augusto Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record17-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach77"
259 lbsWeight264 lbs
Mantis MMA DakarTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adama DiopAugusto Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Augusto Sakai63%
Adama Diop 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Augusto Sakai a 63% favorite over Adama Diop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1612), separated by just 2 points.
Adama Diop enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adama Diop finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Augusto Sakai 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.