Combat Edge Intelligence

Adryen Spinks vs Nathan Haywood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Adryen Spinks
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Adryen Spinks

“The Island Assassin”

1-1-0BantamweightLFA

1503Average

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record4-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adryen SpinksNow 1503
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479
Nathan HaywoodNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Adryen SpinksNathan Haywood
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
1 (100%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Haywood61%
Adryen Spinks 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Haywood a 61% favorite over Adryen Spinks in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adryen Spinks's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1502), separated by just 1 points.

Nathan Haywood enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nathan Haywood 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.