Ahejiang Ailinuer vs Koji Takeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Warriors Fight ClubTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1647 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ahejiang AilinuerKoji Takeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Koji Takeda61%
Ahejiang Ailinuer 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 61% favorite over Ahejiang Ailinuer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ahejiang Ailinuer's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.
Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ahejiang Ailinuer finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Koji Takeda 45%.
Ahejiang Ailinuer carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.