Ahmed Darwish vs Dan Barrera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record3-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"HeightTBD
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1519
If they lose-25→ 1471
If they win+25→ 1508
If they lose-23→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishDan Barrera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish66%
Dan Barrera 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 66% favorite over Dan Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1483), separated by just 13 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Dan Barrera 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.