Ahmed Darwish vs Joshua Onwordi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record7-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"Reach-
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
TBDTeamBKK Fighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishJoshua Onwordi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Onwordi71%
Ahmed Darwish 29%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 71% favorite over Ahmed Darwish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1497 vs 1502), separated by just 5 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Onwordi 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.