Ahmed Darwish vs Konrad Rusiński
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
70"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
TBDTeamOleksiejczuk Team
What's at stake
Konrad Rusiński is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ahmed Darwish carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1525
If they lose-19→ 1477
If they win+13→ 1575
If they lose-19→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishKonrad Rusiński
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Konrad Rusiński71%
Ahmed Darwish 29%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Konrad Rusiński a 71% favorite over Ahmed Darwish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Konrad Rusiński holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1496, a 66-point edge.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Konrad Rusiński 75%.
Konrad Rusiński carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.