Ahmed Darwish vs Nick Klein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
Nick Klein is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Ahmed Darwish carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1525
If they lose-19→ 1477
If they win+19→ 1585
If they lose-29→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishNick Klein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ahmed Darwish and Nick Klein within a point of even.
Nick Klein holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1566 to 1496, a 70-point edge.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nick Klein enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nick Klein 83%.
Nick Klein carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.