Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Cornel Thompson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609
Cornel ThompsonNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyCornel Thompson
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (50%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ahmed El Sisy and Cornel Thompson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.

Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Cornel Thompson 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.