Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs David Bielkheden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609
David BielkhedenNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.11
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
64%
TBD
Takedown defense
14%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyDavid Bielkheden
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (46%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (15%)
4 (50%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed El Sisy60%
David Bielkheden 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed El Sisy a 60% favorite over David Bielkheden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.

Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, David Bielkheden 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.