Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Mandel Nallo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mandel Nallo
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Mandel Nallo

“Rat Garbage / Mango”

14-4-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record14-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
69"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609
Mandel NalloNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
8.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
63%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
TBD
Strike defense
73%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyMandel Nallo
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (43%)
4 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ahmed El Sisy and Mandel Nallo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1635), separated by just 2 points.

Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mandel Nallo 100%.

Mandel Nallo carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.