Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Yanal Ashmouz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609
Yanal AshmouzNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyYanal Ashmouz
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ahmed El Sisy and Yanal Ashmouz within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1635), separated by just 2 points.

Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.