Ahmed Tarek vs Cole Province
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record6-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
S&B AcademyTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed TarekCole Province
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Tarek66%
Cole Province 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Tarek a 66% favorite over Cole Province in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1557), separated by just 4 points.
Ahmed Tarek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cole Province enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Tarek finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Cole Province 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.