Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed Tarek vs Wily Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ahmed Tarek
eg

Ahmed Tarek

“The Mental Rock”

7-2-0FeatherweightPFL

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed TarekNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Wily PereiraNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ahmed TarekWily Pereira
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
5 (71%)
Submission
7 (58%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed Tarek53%
Wily Pereira 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Tarek a 53% favorite over Wily Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1562), separated by just 0 points.

Ahmed Tarek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ahmed Tarek finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Wily Pereira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.