Combat Edge Intelligence

Aieza Bertolso vs Carli Judice

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record7-2-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
MSP· 1624 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamHeadkicks MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aieza BertolsoNow 1651
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
Carli JudiceNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
9.32
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.62
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.52
Not available
Takedown accuracy
25%
Not available
Takedown defense
81%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aieza BertolsoCarli Judice
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
4 (57%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Carli Judice57%
Aieza Bertolso 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 57% favorite over Aieza Bertolso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1654), separated by just 3 points.

Aieza Bertolso enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Carli Judice enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Aieza Bertolso finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Carli Judice 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.