Combat Edge Intelligence

Aieza Bertolso vs Ketlen Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ketlen Souza
br

Ketlen Souza

“Esquentadinha”

17-6-0StrawweightUFC

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record17-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'2"
68"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
MSP· 1624 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamCarioca Academy· 1607 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aieza BertolsoNow 1651
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
Ketlen SouzaNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
Not available
Strike accuracy
56%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.46
Not available
Takedown accuracy
13%
Not available
Takedown defense
54%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Aieza BertolsoKetlen Souza
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (12%)
2 (29%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Ketlen Souza61%
Aieza Bertolso 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Souza a 61% favorite over Aieza Bertolso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aieza Bertolso's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1648), separated by just 3 points.

Aieza Bertolso enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aieza Bertolso finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Souza 65%.

Aieza Bertolso carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.