Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Cunningham vs Thimna Mhlauli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71″Reach-
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Without Limits MMATeamQuanWessels BJJ & MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ CunninghamNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Thimna MhlauliNow 1588
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.66
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
29%
Strike accuracy
Not available
11.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
49%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

AJ CunninghamThimna Mhlauli
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
4 (36%)
Submission
1 (20%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Thimna Mhlauli51%
AJ Cunningham 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thimna Mhlauli a 51% favorite over AJ Cunningham in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans AJ Cunningham's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

AJ Cunningham enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

AJ Cunningham finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Thimna Mhlauli 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.