AJ Dobson vs Steven Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamNovo BJJ
What's at stake
AJ Dobson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Steven Hill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1611
If they lose-19→ 1579
If they win+19→ 1559
If they lose-13→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
AJ DobsonSteven Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
AJ Dobson60%
Steven Hill 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes AJ Dobson a 60% favorite over Steven Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
AJ Dobson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1540, a 58-point edge.
Steven Hill enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
AJ Dobson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Steven Hill 86%.
AJ Dobson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.