Akhmed Gakiev vs Ashley Reece
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach69"
157 lbsWeight168 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamHAMMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Akhmed GakievAshley Reece
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Akhmed Gakiev66%
Ashley Reece 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Gakiev a 66% favorite over Ashley Reece in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ashley Reece's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1612), separated by just 2 points.
Akhmed Gakiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Akhmed Gakiev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Ashley Reece 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.