Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Gakiev vs Ashley Reece

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ashley Reece
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Ashley Reece

“The Beast”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach69"
157 lbsWeight168 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamHAMMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed GakievNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Ashley ReeceNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Akhmed GakievAshley Reece
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
10 (83%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ashley Reece62%
Akhmed Gakiev 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ashley Reece a 62% favorite over Akhmed Gakiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1612), separated by just 2 points.

Akhmed Gakiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Akhmed Gakiev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Ashley Reece 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.