Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Magomedov vs Damir Hadžović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record14-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MagomedovNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.78
TBD
Takedown accuracy
56%
TBD
Takedown defense
35%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Akhmed MagomedovDamir Hadžović
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
3 (30%)
Submission
3 (21%)
6 (60%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Magomedov62%
Damir Hadžović 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Magomedov a 62% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.

Akhmed Magomedov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Damir Hadžović 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.