Akitoshi Tamura vs Jacob Pais
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-18-2Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tsudanuma DojoTeamKAMICUOZZI MMA & FITNESS
What's at stake
Akitoshi Tamura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jacob Pais carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1536
If they lose-13→ 1512
If they win+26→ 1529
If they lose-22→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Akitoshi TamuraJacob Pais
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Pais70%
Akitoshi Tamura 30%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Pais a 70% favorite over Akitoshi Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Akitoshi Tamura's way (47%).
Akitoshi Tamura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1503, a 22-point edge.
Akitoshi Tamura finishes 29% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.