Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Matavao vs Dylan Budka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Al Matavao
as

Al Matavao

“Sweetness”

11-7-0MiddleweightSaaR

1573Solid
Dylan Budka
us

Dylan Budka

“The Mindless Hulk”

7-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach75″
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamDemolition Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al MatavaoNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
Dylan BudkaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.84
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
47%
Strike accuracy
44%
6.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
59%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
2.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
0%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Al MatavaoDylan Budka
1500155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (18%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Al Matavao and Dylan Budka within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1571), separated by just 2 points.

Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Dylan Budka 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.