Alan Gomes de Castro vs Mohammad Yahya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-1Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
137 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1600 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTK MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan Gomes de CastroMohammad Yahya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammad Yahya59%
Alan Gomes de Castro 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Yahya a 59% favorite over Alan Gomes de Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1568), separated by just 3 points.
Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alan Gomes de Castro finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Yahya 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.