
Alan Philpott vs Daniel Bzdigian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Alan Philpott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Daniel Bzdigian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Bzdigian a 61% favorite over Alan Philpott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alan Philpott's way (48%).
Alan Philpott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1492 to 1477, a 15-point edge.
Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Philpott finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Daniel Bzdigian carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.