Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Philpott vs Sebastian Polanco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Philpott
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Alan Philpott

“Super Ali”

21-18-0FeatherweightPFL

1492Average

Tale of the tape

21-18-0Record3-3-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan PhilpottNow 1492
If they win+12→ 1504
If they lose-12→ 1480
Sebastian PolancoNow 1502
If they win+23→ 1525
If they lose-25→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alan PhilpottSebastian Polanco
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
9 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (33%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Philpott57%
Sebastian Polanco 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Philpott a 57% favorite over Sebastian Polanco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sebastian Polanco's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1492 vs 1502), separated by just 10 points.

Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sebastian Polanco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Philpott finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Polanco 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.