Alan Silva vs Mark Weir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-1Record21-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team AbacaxiTeamRange
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1552
If they lose-12→ 1528
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan SilvaMark Weir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Silva54%
Mark Weir 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Silva a 54% favorite over Mark Weir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1537), separated by just 3 points.
Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Mark Weir 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.