Aleksandr Grozin vs Drew Dober
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-7-2Record29-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach70″
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandr GrozinDrew Dober
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandr Grozin51%
Drew Dober 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 51% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Dober's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1701), separated by just 3 points.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Drew Dober 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.