Aleksandr Grozin vs Elvin Espinoza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-7-2Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach74.00"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandr GrozinElvin Espinoza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandr Grozin60%
Elvin Espinoza 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 60% favorite over Elvin Espinoza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elvin Espinoza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1685), separated by just 2 points.
Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Elvin Espinoza 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.