Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandra Savicheva vs Alice Ardelean

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record12-7-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
66"Reach62"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Raty TeamTeamFearless MMA

What's at stake

Aleksandra Savicheva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alice Ardelean carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksandra SavichevaNow 1607
If they win+15→ 1622
If they lose-17→ 1590
Alice ArdeleanNow 1591
If they win+17→ 1608
If they lose-15→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.35
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.20
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
86%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandra SavichevaAlice Ardelean
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (13%)
Submission
5 (42%)
5 (63%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aleksandra Savicheva and Alice Ardelean within a point of even.

Aleksandra Savicheva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1591, a 16-point edge.

Aleksandra Savicheva enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aleksandra Savicheva finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Alice Ardelean 75%.

Aleksandra Savicheva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.