Aleksandra Savicheva vs Mariya Agapova
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record10-5-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach68"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Raty TeamTeamMMA Science Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandra SavichevaMariya Agapova
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandra Savicheva76%
Mariya Agapova 24%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandra Savicheva a 76% favorite over Mariya Agapova in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mariya Agapova's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1613), separated by just 6 points.
Aleksandra Savicheva enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aleksandra Savicheva finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Mariya Agapova 80%.
Mariya Agapova carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.