Aleksandra Savicheva vs Nicolle Caliari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record9-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
66"Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Raty TeamTeamThai Brasil
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1622
If they lose-17→ 1590
If they win+17→ 1611
If they lose-15→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandra SavichevaNicolle Caliari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandra Savicheva75%
Nicolle Caliari 25%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandra Savicheva a 75% favorite over Nicolle Caliari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1594), separated by just 13 points.
Aleksandra Savicheva enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aleksandra Savicheva finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.
Aleksandra Savicheva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.