Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs Kacper Formela

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record20-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach71.3"
159 lbsWeight156 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1578 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Kacper FormelaNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
1.97
Takedown avg.
Not available
44%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.28
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaKacper Formela
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
8 (33%)
Submission
3 (15%)
2 (8%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex da Silva60%
Kacper Formela 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 60% favorite over Kacper Formela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Kacper Formela enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Kacper Formela 55%.

Alex da Silva carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.