Alex Gorgees vs Felipe Froes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record27-12-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight158 lbs
Australian Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex GorgeesFelipe Froes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Froes66%
Alex Gorgees 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Froes a 66% favorite over Alex Gorgees in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Gorgees finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Froes 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.