Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Oliveira vs Omar Hussein

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-19-1Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
76"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
ATS Team Tres RiosTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex OliveiraNow 1569
If they win+12→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1557
Omar HusseinNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
2.35
Takedown avg.
Not available
30%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
64%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.57
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alex OliveiraOmar Hussein
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
6 (23%)
Submission
4 (33%)
5 (19%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Oliveira63%
Omar Hussein 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Oliveira a 63% favorite over Omar Hussein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1569), separated by just 0 points.

Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Omar Hussein enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alex Oliveira finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Omar Hussein 58%.

Alex Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.