Alex Perez vs Lucas Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-11-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'2"
65"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Oyama· 1646 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRenovacao Coari Team· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex PerezLucas Rocha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Perez64%
Lucas Rocha 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 64% favorite over Lucas Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Rocha's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1696), separated by just 2 points.
Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Rocha 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.