Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Reyes vs Zaur Gadzhiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record4-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Cage Combat AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ReyesNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Zaur GadzhievNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
1.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex ReyesZaur Gadzhiev
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Zaur Gadzhiev89%
Alex Reyes 11%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zaur Gadzhiev a 89% favorite over Alex Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Alex Reyes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zaur Gadzhiev 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.