Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Soto vs John MaCalolooy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Soto
us

Alex Soto

“Extremo”

8-3-1BantamweightBFC

1531Average

Tale of the tape

8-3-1Record4-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"HeightTBD
TBDReachN/A
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
KHK MMA TeamTeamDragons Den MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex SotoNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
John MaCalolooyNow 1536
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
2.82
Takedown avg.
TBD
30%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex SotoJohn MaCalolooy
150015502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Decision
4 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Soto52%
John MaCalolooy 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Soto a 52% favorite over John MaCalolooy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John MaCalolooy's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1536), separated by just 5 points.

Alex Soto finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, John MaCalolooy 0%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.