Alex Zapata vs Genji Umeno
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record2-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-Reach69.3"
155 lbsWeight141 lbs
Mario Roberto Jiu Jitsu AcademyTeamPhoenix
What's at stake
Genji Umeno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Alex Zapata carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
If they win+23→ 1512
If they lose-25→ 1464
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ZapataGenji Umeno
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Zapata68%
Genji Umeno 32%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Zapata a 68% favorite over Genji Umeno in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Genji Umeno's way (47%).
Genji Umeno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1471, a 18-point edge.
Genji Umeno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.