AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Chavez vs Igor Severino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1670 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1704 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander ChavezNow 1689
If they win+24→ 1713
If they lose-24→ 1665
Igor SeverinoNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
Not available
Strike accuracy
52%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
9.69
Not available
Takedown accuracy
71%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander ChavezIgor Severino
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (40%)
3 (33%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Igor Severino58%
Alexander Chavez 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Igor Severino a 58% favorite over Alexander Chavez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Chavez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1688), separated by just 1 points.

Alexander Chavez enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Igor Severino enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Chavez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Igor Severino 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.