Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Callum Connor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650
Callum ConnorNow 1663
If they win+24→ 1687
If they lose-24→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovCallum Connor
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (13%)
12 (63%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov62%
Callum Connor 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 62% favorite over Callum Connor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Callum Connor's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Callum Connor enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Callum Connor 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.