Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Kolton Englund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kolton Englund
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Kolton Englund

“The White Assassin”

15-5-0LightweightPFL

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record15-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamRenzo Gracie Lake Houston

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Kolton EnglundNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.31
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
11.54
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovKolton Englund
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (20%)
12 (63%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov51%
Kolton Englund 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 51% favorite over Kolton Englund in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Kolton Englund 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.