Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Lucas Brennan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
-Reach71"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Raty TeamTeamNext Generation MMA Frisco

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Lucas BrennanNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovLucas Brennan
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (5%)
Submission
8 (73%)
12 (63%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Matmuratov and Lucas Brennan within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1639), separated by just 0 points.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Brennan 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.